Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.150094 0.174230 0.201040 0.233035 0.270197 0.312022 0.362700
2025-04-20 0.115660 0.148784 0.189527 0.243374 0.312769 0.399331 0.515749
2025-04-27 0.096979 0.133906 0.182635 0.251747 0.347466 0.475703 0.661168
2025-05-04 0.084012 0.122879 0.177187 0.258779 0.378633 0.548859 0.810166
2025-05-11 0.072972 0.112165 0.169703 0.260558 0.400992 0.610800 0.949964
2025-05-18 0.063354 0.101785 0.160741 0.258063 0.415495 0.661581 1.078253
2025-05-25 0.054481 0.091115 0.149600 0.250125 0.419608 0.695674 1.183282
2025-06-01 0.049950 0.086721 0.147654 0.256410 0.447003 0.769653 1.362555
2025-06-08 0.045164 0.081189 0.142989 0.257237 0.464810 0.829071 1.523661
2025-06-15 0.041661 0.077392 0.140724 0.261758 0.489291 0.902400 1.718236
2025-06-22 0.037178 0.071223 0.133449 0.256136 0.494290 0.940749 1.852039
2025-06-29 0.033699 0.066485 0.128189 0.253527 0.504402 0.989334 2.010951
2025-07-06 0.030892 0.062772 0.124565 0.253905 0.520906 1.053182 2.210880
2025-07-13 0.029565 0.061854 0.126281 0.265192 0.560839 1.168489 2.532544
2025-07-20 0.028125 0.060507 0.126946 0.274325 0.597322 1.280939 2.862861
2025-07-27 0.026672 0.058943 0.126950 0.281997 0.631529 1.392522 3.205894
2025-08-03 0.024857 0.056364 0.124489 0.283938 0.653271 1.479514 3.504675
2025-08-10 0.022855 0.053121 0.120199 0.281216 0.664042 1.543165 3.757313
2025-08-17 0.020625 0.049089 0.113685 0.272556 0.659871 1.571956 3.930014
2025-08-24 0.019692 0.047990 0.113740 0.279412 0.693535 1.693533 4.347319
2025-08-31 0.018448 0.045992 0.111461 0.280315 0.712692 1.782349 4.693511
2025-09-07 0.017554 0.044749 0.110842 0.285247 0.742522 1.900964 5.132840
2025-09-14 0.016110 0.041950 0.106099 0.279113 0.743116 1.945618 5.380950